Briefings

Archive December 2024

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Week InAdvance: December 30, 2024

Tue Dec 31 New Year’s Eve. China PMI. Switzerland's foreign exchange transactions. | Wed Jan 1 New Year’s holiday as world ushers in 2025. Canada takes over G7 presidency for the new year. Poland takes over rotating EU presidency. | Thu Jan 2 Sweden Riksbank minutes from December meeting published.

 

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Week InReview: December 27, 2024

A down day on Wall Street.

 

US stock futures point to a down day on Wall Street, while equities in Europe and Asia advanced in muted holiday trading. Oil drifted.

 

Japanese Finance Minister Katsunobu Kato said the government will take appropriate steps against excessive movements in the yen. The Bank of Japan signaled that an interest-rate hike next month remains on the table. Inflation in Tokyo accelerated.

 

South Korea’s won led declines among emerging-market currencies after parliament impeached Acting President Han Duck-soo, dealing another blow to a government already reeling after President Yoon Suk Yeol’s suspension less than two weeks ago.

 

Bitcoin rally is fizzling in the final days of a record-breaking year for the digital asset. Elsewhere, Chinese government bonds are primed for their best year in a decade.

 

Weak luxury-good demand and political instability made 2024 a year to forget for France’s biggest billionaires. Bernard Arnault, Françoise Bettencourt Meyers, and François Pinault saw about $70 billion erased from their collective wealth, according to the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.

 

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Week InAdvance: December 23, 2024

Mon Dec 23 UK GDP. Bank of Canada issues summary of deliberations. | Tue Dec 24 Christmas Eve. Reserve Bank of Australia publishes minutes of rate meeting. Bank of Japan publishes minutes of October rate meeting. | Wed Dec 25 Christmas Day: UK, Hanukkah begins. US and other markets closed. | Thu Dec 26 London Stock Exchange closed for Boxing Day. Kwanza. US initial jobless claims (may be delayed in the event of a shutdown). Colombia’s central bank publishes minutes of rate meeting. | Fri Dec 27 Bank of Japan publishes summary of opinions for December meeting. Court hearing on the impeachment of South Korean president. | Sat Dec 29 Feast of the Holy Innocents.

 

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Week InReview: December 20, 2024

Stocks falling again.

Stocks are falling again today after yesterday’s attempt at a rally in the US fizzled. The Republican-led House rejected a temporary funding plan late Thursday, leaving lawmakers scrambling before a government shutdown.

 

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Week InAdvance: December 16, 2024

Mon Dec 16 China retail sales, property prices, industrial production. | Tue Dec 17 FDIC meets on bank capital distributions. New Zealand issues economic and fiscal update.. | Wed Dec 18 UN International Migrants Day. FOMC rate decision. CFTC meets on reporting and margin rules. SEC meeting. | Thu Dec 19 Meeting of EU leaders. Russian President Vladimir Putin’s annual news conference. UK BOE rate decision. Japan rate decision. | Fri Dec 20 Triple Witching Day. Russia rate decision. | Sat Dec 21 Winter Solstice. China’s top legislature meets.

 

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Week InReview: December 13, 2024

US yields remain elevated.

US yields remain elevated, set for the biggest weekly jump since early October, while European bond futures signal fresh declines after they sold off following a less dovish than expected ECB. Bonds slid even with European central banks lowering rates to shield economies against potential disruption from Donald Trump’s second term.

 

Chinese shares slumped as authorities left investors guessing on the specifics of a fiscal stimulus plan. The benchmark index snapped a two-week winning streak while bond yields plumb record lows on the promise of easier monetary policy.

 

Pimco and Fidelity are among investors who say the darkening economic outlook in Europe may force policymakers to cut interest rates more than the market expects.

 

Stocks tumble across Asia amid a lack of details about stimulus from a key policy meeting in Beijing. Bonds were happier, with China’s 10-year yield hitting a record low. South Korean stocks buck the trend as the country’s opposition filed a second impeachment motion against President Yoon.

 

Treasuries fell, and the yield curve steepened after data showed US wholesale inflation unexpectedly accelerated in November and applications for unemployment benefits rose last week. Demand for a 30-year auction was weak, and the dollar rose for a fifth session.

 

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week InAdvance: December 9, 2024

Mon Dec 9 China PPI, CPI. | Tue Dec 10 UN Human Rights Day. SEC to discuss finfluencers. Australia rate decision. | Wed Dec 11 CFTC meets on central counterparty risk and governance. US consumer price index. | Thu Dec 12 ECB and Switzerland rate decisions. Billboard Music Awards. | Fri Dec 13 Russia's arctic forum in St. Petersburg.

 

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Week InReview: December 6, 2024

Bond traders eye US jobs data for clues.

Traders seeking support for bets that the Fed will cut interest rates this month will be watching the US jobs report at 8:30 a.m. in Washington. It’ll likely take a very strong reading to upend the view the Fed will cut by a quarter point.

 

The European Central Bank will cut interest rates more rapidly than previously thought to boost the economy — a quarter-point reduction next week and then at every policy meeting through June, a Bloomberg survey shows.

 

Chinese shares rally on optimism a key policy meeting next week will deliver fresh stimulus. Later today, the markets’ focus will be on US payrolls data forecast to show a rebound in hiring in November.

 

Trading turned subdued ahead of the November US non-farm payrolls report due on Friday, which is expected to show hiring bounced. The S&P 500 fell for the first time in five days after repeatedly closing at a record, while Treasury yields pared an ascent seen earlier in the US session.

 

Brent crude fell for a second day to trade around $72 per barrel after OPEC+ agreed for a third time to delay the revival of halted production, with oil demand faltering in China.

 

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Week InAdvance: December 2, 2024

Mon Dec 2 Cyber Monday. COP16 in Riyadh. | Tue Dec 3 NATO foreign ministers meet. | Wed Dec 4 Fed's Beige Book. OECD publishes economic outlook. | Thu Dec 5 Online OPEC meeting. | Fri Dec 6 FSOC meets. US monthly payrolls report.

 

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