Briefings
Archive November 2021
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Week InAdvance: November 29, 2021
- By: admin
- On: 11/29/2021 10:00:37
- In: Week InReview
Mon Nov 29 Cyber Monday in the U.S. | Tue Nov 30 Powell, Yellen in the Senate. | Wed Dec 1 Powell, Yellen in the House. | Thu Dec 2 SEC's investor advisory panel meets. | Fri Dec 3 U.S. jobs report for November. | Sat Dec 4 Total solar eclipse
Fed Chair Jerome Powell gets to defend his renomination when he appears at a Senate Banking Committee hearing alongside Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen on Tuesday. They speak again the following day at the House Financial Services Committee. The hearings are about the government response to the Covid crisis, but lawmakers are sure to question Powell about his tenure and the direction of rates.
We’ll see if the U.S. labor market continued to recover in November with the monthly jobs report. In October, nonfarm payrolls increased 531,000, beating estimates. The jobless rate fell to 4.6% while the labor force participation rate was unchanged.
Week InReview: November 26, 2021
- By: admin
- On: 11/26/2021 11:26:11
- In: 2021 Briefings
O-M-Gee.
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Week InAdvance: November 22, 2021
- By: admin
- On: 11/22/2021 11:01:39
- In: 2021 Briefings
Mon Nov 22 Basel Institute on Governance virtual training. | Tue Nov 23 IOSCO review of margining practices. | Wed Nov 24 FOMC minutes. | Thu Nov 25 U.S. Thanksgiving Day: U.S. equity, bond markets closed. | Fri Nov 26 Black Friday with lower discounts amid supply-chain pressures.
Before the Thanksgiving holiday on Nov. 25, U.S. President Joe Biden is expected to announce his nominee for the Federal Reserve chair. Jerome Powell, who has been in the job since 2018, remains the betting-market favorite to continue in the role, but the odds for board member Lael Brainard have increased.
PMI data for the U.S. and the Euro-zone will be announced on Tuesday. Manufacturers are dealing with rising costs amid supply-chain constraints and are passing the pain onto consumers. Meanwhile, the services industry, which has become Europe’s growth engine, faces a fresh wave of Covid-19 infections.
Black Friday deals, unlike in previous years, are shaping up to be underwhelming in 2021 as demand swamps supply. Seasonal discounts on sporting goods and appliances will be lower than last year, according to Adobe, amid tight inventories, robust consumer spending and rising inflation.
Week InReview: November 19, 2021
- By: admin
- On: 11/19/2021 13:50:47
- In: 2021 Briefings
Cutting to the chase.
(Nov 17) — Financial regulators [met] on Wednesday to address recent wild price swings in the U.S. Treasury market, presumably to find out why markets all of a sudden aren’t working properly. But traders say that, once again, rules created in Washington are having unforeseen consequences.
The Volcker rule which limited banks from taking large proprietary positions limits the amount of risk and, therefore, the amount of inventory banks can keep on their books. In times of QE, that’s no problem, the more supply the better. Bonds just kept going up as the Fed kept the cash coming.
But now, partly because of rising inflation expectations and partly because of the start of tapering, bonds have been falling and traders can’t hold and trade them the way they used to. Frankly, given the biggest buyer of bonds since the financial crisis is slowing purchases, why would anyone else want them? The Fed not buying bonds is defacto selling.
This is the regulatory agencies’ own doing and creating more rules to fix broken rules is not likely to help. Prices are volatile as traders try to trade the timing of the next rate hike. And if a central bank is eventually going to be trimming their balance sheet and removing liquidity it probably isn’t too smart to take them on. I tried it with the BOJ once in the 80’s, it did not end well.
Vincent Cignarella
— Bloomberg
Week InAdvance: November 15, 2021
- By: admin
- On: 11/15/2021 09:32:45
- In: 2021 Briefings
Week InReview: November 12, 2021
- By: admin
- On: 11/12/2021 14:17:35
- In: 2021 Briefings
The Grinch That Stole New Year's.
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Week InAdvance: November 8, 2021
- By: admin
- On: 11/08/2021 17:01:26
- In: 2021 Briefings
Week InReview: November 5, 2021
- By: admin
- On: 11/05/2021 13:38:00
- In: 2021 Briefings
Do you have a minute?
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Week InAdvance: November 1, 2021
- By: admin
- On: 11/01/2021 11:53:26
- In: 2021 Briefings